Kudos must go to The Host. After several "down" years, he's finally proving himself worthy of being the host of everyone's second-favorite sports-related show (just behind Hondo's House). Methinks it won't last, but let him enjoy it while it does.
Meanwhile, it's probably time to rethink the sponsorship of the Lock of the Week. While MasterLock has been a long-time supporter of Pick 'Em Corner, it's time for the weekly feature to pay homage to the lone panelist on the show to make his fans gobs and gobs of cash based solely on his performance on locks of the week. Other panelists will show you their gaudy overall record, but not many bettors out there aren't willing nor able to throw down money on every game in hopes of turning a profit. The Professor's Pupils (the official fan club of The Professor), meanwhile, just wait for their mentor's lock of the week and throw everything on that particular game. For this reason, the lock of the week will heretofore be referred to as "The Professor's Statistically-Proven Lock of the Week, brought to you by National American University."
On to this week's slate of games. Sit up class, open your notebooks and sharpen your pencils. It's time for The Professor's Smart Money Picks.
FAVORITE SPREAD UNDERDOG (Professor's picks in bold)
NORTHWESTERN -5.5 Indiana
We start off with a bowl game elimination contest because, let's face it, the loser of this game will fall to 4-4 and have little to no shot at getting to seven wins. But who cares? What you're all waiting to hear is who I talked to about this game. Well, it's time to make amends with everybody's favorite Big Ten Network analyst. No, not Charissa Thompson. Gerry DiNardo! Last week, I poked a little fun at the Nard Dog and according to BTN insider KCKCKCK, he was none too pleased. To make it up to Gerry, I gave him a chance to provide his breakdown of the NU-IU game. He told me the spead of 5.5 points is just a little too much for a game that features two very evenly-matched teams at nearly every position. He likes the Hoosiers to win, but I ignored that after reminding myself that DiNardo never won more than three games while in Bloomington. I, therefore, like the Wildcats to win in Evanston, but only by a field goal. Thanks Gerry and say hi to KCKCKCK for The Professor.
OHIO STATE -17 Minnesota
The Professor is breaking out the big guns this week. First, Gerry DiNardo and now this game's guest analyst, LeBron James. Why LeBron? Well, he's here to provide us with insight into embattled QB Terrelle "the Terrible" Pryor. LeBron told me that Pryor and the entire OSU program has gone into the "us against the world" mentality that the squad used prior to the USC game. The tactic almost worked against a powerful Trojan squad and if it can almost beat a top tier team like USC, it will certainly work wonders against the Brew Crew. LeBron also told me that if OSU doesn't win, he advised Pryor to just walk off the field without shaking anybody's hand and blow off all media responsibilities. Thanks, LeBron. Here's the thing. Minnesota is basically the epitome of mediocre. The offense is putrid, while the defense is decent. The coach is clueless, while the players actually have talent. Ohio State, meanwhile, has an offense waiting to break out, a top shelf defense and a proven winner as coach. That all adds up to a Buckeye win by at three TDs.
PITTSBURGH -6.5 South Florida
Larry Fitzgerald, Sr. gave me great analysis last week, so this week The Professor is turning to his son. When he's not doing IHOP commercials, Larry Jr. is a great football mind. Clearly, the football acumen started and finished with Junior. Sorry, Marcus. Junior told me that Pitt is the real deal this year and how can I argue with him after watching Dion Lewis run roughshod over Rutgers last week. That being said, Lewis was a one-man team last week and USF brings a standout D-line and crazy-fast athletes all over the field. Pittsburgh will win this game, but like the NU-IU tilt, these teams are too evenly matched for this spread.
Georgia Tech -5.5 VIRGINIA
You hear that sound? Eeeeeeeeeeeeeerrrrrrrr-plunk! Eeeeeeeeeeeeeerrrrrrrr-plunk! Eeeeeeeeeeeeeerrrrrrrr-plunk! It's The MasterLock Triple Strong Lock of the Week The Professor's Statistically-Proven Lock of the Week, brought to you by National American University! All season long, I’ve been a Ramblin’ Wreck denier. I just couldn’t bring myself to believe that the offense that Tech runs could be successful week in and week out. Well, to quote The Monkees, “Then I saw her face, now I'm a believer.” My fellow colleagues may point to Virginia’s undefeated record in the ACC this season, but who have they played? Nobody. They may point to the Cavalier defense as one that might be able to shut down the Jackets’ attack. But who have they shut down this season? Indiana? Puh-leeeeze. Sing it with me, Host. The Ramblin’ Wreck of Georgia Tech. A hell of an engineer…
PURDUE -10 Illinois
Just about all of us were caught blindsided by Purdue's resounding win over Ohio State last week, The Professor included. We all stopped believing that Purdue was the best 1-5 team in the nation and were dumbfounded when they walked all over the Bucks. Now, some of the experts will say that after last week, the upset alert is on the Boilers as a talented, albeit underachieving Illinois squad comes to town. They’ll say that the hangover from the OSU win may be enough for the Illini to get back on track. But I talked to Lee Corso this week and he said, “Not so fast, my friends.” That’s right, Lee. What all these so-called experts (© Sid Hartman) are forgetting is that this Illinois team, although talented, is a joke and it starts at the top. The Ron Zook Farewell Tour hits West Lafayette this week and if the Illini faithful are lucky, the Purdue locomotive will foreshadow the railroading that Zook and his clownshow will get at the end of the season. Boiler Up!
NAVY -3 Wake Forest
Just like the Lock of the Week, The Professor has procured a new sponsorship for the weekly game involving a service academy. From now on, this game will be referred to as “The Professor’s Service Academy Game of the Week, presented by Armed Forces Network.” As part of the agreement with AFN, I’m required to pick the service academy, regardless of the matchup and spread, as well as sing the school’s song. Sounds like what I was doing already, so without further ado:
Anchors aweigh, my boy, anchors aweigh!
Penn State -4.5 MICHIGAN
The Professor turned to Cornerman confidant LFK this week once again. She told me that she just donated next month’s mortgage payment to the Paterno Library after reading about JoePa in Sports Illustrated, much to Cornerman’s dismay. Admittedly, LFK is nuts, but she also gave me a good analysis about this game. She told me this tilt is all about matchups. Here’s her rundown:
PSU offense vs. MICH defense……………….advantage PUSH
MICH offense vs. PSU defense……………….advantage PSU
Quarterback play………………………………advantage PUSH
Running back play…………………………….advantage PSU
Intangibles…………………………………….advantage MICH
Coach’s morals………………………………..advantage PSU
The Professor knows math and that all adds up to a Penn State win by five or more. Cue Nittany Lion roar (as performed by LFK) here.
Oklahoma -7.5 KANSAS
Intriguing game in the Big 12 this week with storylines centering around the fall of Sam Bradford. This is a turning point game for both squads with OU seeing its season slipping away and KU ready to emerge on the national stage. It’s really difficult to pick against the pedigree of the Sooners in this one, but there’s too much negativity surrounding the OU program right now to ignore. Bradford is done, the loss to Texas is going to sting for awhile and Kansas brings an entirely different look than the Longhorns. The Professor smells an upset a brewin’.
Oregon -10 WASHINGTON
Love the environs at Husky stadium with the tailgating on the lake and such. That’s all The Professor loves about Washington in this game. Is this a trap game or am I just missing something? Is Jake Locker really that good to overcome the Huskies’ woeful defense? UW lost to a pedestrian Arizona State team last week and now we’re supposed to expect them to hang with the Ducks? I just don’t get it. in the words of Admiral Akbar, “It’s a trap!”, but It still feels like Vegas is trying to give you money here, so go with the Tigers.
ALABAMA -14 Tennessee
In The Professor’s book (due out in November from the University of Minnesota Press), Alabama is the best damn team in all the land. The Tide defense is somewhere between unstoppable force and immovable object. Meanwhile, Tennessee just got their big win of the season. Lane Kiffin has been strutting around Knoxville, thinking he’s got the Vols back where they belong, but it’s clear he’s just another coach with a hot wife. Nick Saban, though hate-able in his own way, may be the best coach in the nation with an average-looking wife. When it comes right down to it, great coach with mediocre wife always beats so-so coach with hot wife by two TDs or more.
MICHIGAN STATE -1 Iowa
Whenever The Professor doesn’t know what to do with an Iowa game, he talks to one of two former Hawkeye coaches – Dr. Tom Davis or Hayden Fry. Well, this week, I talked to them both. How’s that for a hard-hitting week of guest analysts? Both Davis and Fry are as confused as the rest of the nation at the Hawkeyes’ performance this season, but they both chalked that up to senility. They’re mystified by the play of Ricky Stanzi, perplexed by the success of the no-name running backs, baffled by the defense’s ability to create turnovers and flummoxed by e-mail, Facebook and the interwebs. Well, join the club, guys (except for the last part). All that being said, why bet against Iowa now? In fact, why aren’t they favored? What gives? Take the Hawkeyes and remain as dazed and confused as Davis and Fry.
Texas Christian -2.5 BYU
Lightning round time. Never trust a coach with the first name Bronko.
LSU -7.5 Auburn
Stay far, far away from this game. LSU isn’t as good as the experts once thought and Auburn is a mystery wrapped in a riddle, enshrouded by an enigma. Both the LSU offense and Auburn defense rank in the “meh” category. Meanwhile, the LSU defense is good, while the Auburn offense is streaky. All this adds up to absolutely nothing, so I’ll just side with the bookmakers in Vegas. I beg of you, save your money and throw it on The Professor’s Statistically-Proven Lock of the Week, brought to you by National American University.
USC -20.5 Oregon State
Revenge is always worth three touchdowns or more. Need I say more? Ok, revenge is a dish best served cold and a chilly reception awaits the Beavers in Troy this week. Like Stanford and Oregon last season, and Washington next season, Oregon State is going to take a whipping at the hands of the Trojans this week. What do I mean? OK, in 2007, the Cardinal and Ducks beat USC. In 2008, USC trounced the Cardinal and Ducks, only to lose a shocker to Oregon State. In 2009, USC lost a shocker to Washington, but will trounce Oregon State to atone for 2008. In 2010, Washington gets trounced and another team (I’ll take UCLA) pulls the upset. The Professor has foreseen it.
Boise State -24.5 HAWAII
Meh. This game was interesting two years ago. Today? Not so much.
Thus concludes The Professor's Smart Money Picks, brought to you by the City of Chanhassen.